The Pollcast: Breaking down Andrew Scheer's Conservative leadership victory

The CBCPollcast, hosted by CBC poll analyst ric Grenier, explores the world of electoralpolitics,political polls and the trends they reveal.

On the13th and final ballot of the Conservative leadership vote, despite trailing in second place throughout the count, Andrew Scheerbeat Maxime Bernier to become the new leader of the Conservative Party.

He had a narrow path to victory and he took it.

• Scheer's unlikely path: Social conservatives and Quebec
• Podcasts: Subscribe to the CBCPollcast

His upset victory was helped by a number of factors, including strong results for like-minded social conservative candidates Brad Trost and Pierre Lemieux and a poor performance by Bernier in his home province of Quebec.

How did Scheer manage to cobble together enough votes to win? Why did Bernier come up short? What happensto the defeated leadership candidates under a Scheer-led party? And how does the new Opposition leader stack up against Prime Minister Justin Trudeau?

To discuss what happened on Saturday night and what happens next, Conservative insiders Tim Powers of Summa Strategies and Chad Rogers of Crestview Strategy join Pollcast host ric Grenier one last time.

Listen to the full discussion above or subscribe to the CBCPollcast and listen to past episodes.

Past episodes with Chad Rogers and Tim Powers on the Conservative leadership race:

• Jan.2016: Your primer on the Conservative leadership race
• May 2016:The state of the Conservative leadership race
• July2016:Tony Clement in, JasonKenney out
• Sept.2016: The impact of MacKay's decision not to run
• Nov.2016: Conservative leadership begins to heat up
• Jan. 2017: O'Leary, French debate shake up race
• Mar. 2017: 3 months to go in CPC leadership race
• Apr. 2017: Bernier, O'Leary or someone else?
• Apr. 2017: Kevin O'Leary's exit
• May 2017: A last look at the CPC leadership race

Follow ric GrenierandTim Powerson Twitter.