LRT is 377 days late and counting. Now what?

The only good thing that can be said for the latest Confederation Line delay is that itdidn't shock anyone.

After all, Rideau Transit Group (RTG) has failed to deliver the $2.1-billion light rail system four times now.The LRT was originally due on May 24,2018. It's now 377 days late and counting.

No really, we are literally counting.

So now what? Here are fivetakeaways from this week's disappointing, if not surprising, LRT news.

1. RTG doesn't know when it will finish

According to the contract, RTG was supposed to give the city a new completion date by May 31.

But the consortium asked for two more weeks to figure it out, according tothe city's general manager of transportation, John Manconi.

Apparently, an extra 14 days will give RTG a better handle on how the train repairs were going.This strategy may be an improvement over RTG'spast behaviour.

In early March, RTG CEO Peter Lauch told councillorsthe system would be ready by the end of the month something he must have known then was not remotely possible.

'The vehicles are not ready for prime time'

5 years ago

Duration 0:52

John Manconi, general manager of OC Transpo, says Rideau Transit Group will not be able to hand the LRT system over to the city by the end of June.

And last month, RTG told thecity it was pretty much donethe Confederation Line, even though there were dozens of outstanding issues, including brake valves that need replacing anddoors that don't shut as tightly as they should. Oh, and sometimesthe power cuts out, stranding the trains on the track.

While it's obvious why RTG wants the extra time, it's unclear why the city agreed to it.

RTG is a consortium of heavy hittersincluding SNC-Lavalin and ACS Infrastructure, companies that should be able to set a realistic completion date.

If they miss that next deadline, the city deducts $1 million from their payments to RTG something that has happened twice already. That should be RTG's concern, not the city's.

2. The city had noPlan B for delay

It's neither the city's nor OC Transpo's fault thatLRT is delayed. The blame for that lies squarely with RTG.

But it's not clear what the city's backup plan was for a lengthy delay, which as city officials, including the mayor, have conceded is not unusual for a project of this magnitude.

In September 2018, OC Transpo reduced service on some routes in anticipation of a light rail systemthat was supposed to be completed by November. We know how that turned out.

But most of the bus changes went ahead anyway.

It's true that bus schedules are complex beasts that are months in the making, but considering the disruption caused, why was there no contingency plan in case of a likely delay?

Those problematic route changes will have been in place for a year, or possibly more, before the LRTis open to the public.

Further, the city retains an independent assessment team that is supposed to assess the progress on the Confederation Line.

It's not clear why the city didn't have a better sense from this team, if not RTG,of the chance of a lengthy delaybefore it altered thosebus routes.

3. Transit pain to worsen

OC Transpo riders have known for some time that their commutes were getting worse by the day. And this winter, Manconi publicly acknowledged that OC Transpo was "not a reliable system."

Expect that to continue, only worse.

There are record numbers of cancellations on some routesandcongestion will increase because the LRTconstructionis overlapping with major construction projects,such as the Elgin Street upgrade, theNicolas Street ramp and the InnesRoad overpass at Highway 417.

There are currently 77 lanes of traffic closed in Ottawa as opposed to 33 last yearas well as the Chaudire Bridge.

The city was going spend $5.1 million a year to expand 30 community bus routes, and another $7.8 million to buy 12 more buses.

But those improvements aren't cominguntil LRT is operating, and we don't know when that is.

4. Council to debate a fare rollback

Coun.Diane Deans said she is "done with defending" OC Transpo to residents. "It's indefensible to continue to charge full fare for sub-par system," she said Tuesday.

Deans wants to decrease fares temporarily by as much as 30 per cent, a gesture of goodwill to long-suffering OC Transpo riders.

"As a member of council, I need to be able to go and say [to constituents], 'You know what? We appreciate you, we appreciate you sticking with us," she said.

Before the latest LRT delay, OC Transpo was expecting ridership to total 97.8 million in 2019 more than three million fewer rides than 2012, when the LRT contract was signed.

But Mayor Jim Watson called the idea of a fare rollback "unrealistic" and said it was "pandering" to the public. He's all for extending the fare freeze that was supposed to expireJuly 1, but not a reduction.

Among other things, Watson said that a freeze is affordable, costing a little more than $300,000 a month, while a temporary discountcould cost as much as$5 million a month.

Both Watson and Deans say RTG should be charged for the lost revenue from lower fares, although it's not at all certain RTG will agree to either plan.

Councillors will hash out what to do about fares at their meeting next week.

Fourth delay of LRT system 'not acceptable,' mayor says

5 years ago

Duration 0:40

Mayor Jim Watson says he's called a meeting with the heads of Rideau Transit Group and Alstom to discuss the delays and push for a solution.

5. Delay to cost tens of millions

At the end of last year, the city treasurer estimated that the LRT delay was costing the city $25 million, but that was assuming itwas finished by March 31.

The total will be significantly more once this is all said and done.

Additional costs come fromkeeping buses on the road longer than planned as well as paying drivers incentives to stick with OC Transpoextending bus detours and keeping the O-Train construction office going.

The city plans on sticking RTG with the costs related to the delay. The city still owes almost $260 million for the massive project, and plans to subtractthe delay-related costs from that total bill.

Does RTG know about this plan?

"They know about it," Manconi said. "Doesn't mean they are going to agree with it."

Considering RTG is not taking responsibility for the costs related to the June 2016 sinkhole, it's likely there will bea lengthy dispute over costs, which could even end up in court.